The Allianz Trade Export Forecast takes into account a wide range of data relevant to the Swiss export industry. Leading indicators of industry, transport, financial and commodity markets as well as new sentiment indicators are taken into account. Around 100 components flow into a dynamic, predictive model in which data series with a stronger lead are weighted higher. The Allianz Trade Export Forecast has a lead time of up to six months compared to the actual exports of the Swiss export industry.