Economic Insights

Mar 17, 2026

Not all Emerging Markets are equal: Hormuz, triple deficits, and the new energy risk premium

An extended conflict beyond three months could spark a second wave of effects via supply disruptions and stronger inflationary shocks, with Asian economies most at risk.

Mar 16, 2026

Warsh's double dilemma: when the Middle East rewrites the Fed's playbook

The energy price shock will delay the Fed’s single rate cut in 2026.

Mar 11, 2026

Allianz Social Resilience Index 2025: The Middle-Resilience Trap

In 2025, the Allianz Social Resilience Index (SRI) records a third consecutive – albeit modest – improvement, but underlying divergence remains pronounced.

Mar 10, 2026

The second energy shock: Why Europe still isn’t energy secure

Strategic autonomy has become Europe’s north star in an increasingly fragmented world, almost ten years after President Macron’s first Sorbonne speech.

Mar 05, 2026

Closing the gender income gap: from paycheck to pension

Women have made measurable progress over recent decades in narrowing gender pay gaps and increasing labor-force participation – but structural gaps persist.

Mar 03, 2026

Conflict in the Middle East: Implications for markets and macro

The US-Israeli strikes on Iran will have implications for energy markets, shipping costs, inflation risks and financial conditions – but everything hinges on how long the conflict lasts.

Feb 25, 2026

Mining for the future: Addressing liabilities and unlocking sustainable transition opportunities

Sustainable mining is integral to the transition.

Feb 24, 2026

Variable geometry for European trade: Building resilience and diversification

As tariff uncertainty from the US persists, Europe needs to continue to enhance its trade potential.

Feb 23, 2026

Schroedinger’s tariffs

The US Supreme Court dismantles the most cost-effective tariff instrument, but not the tariff regime overall.